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Using a chew-model distinction-in-variations mannequin, starbuzz electronic hookah we study the effect of Poland’s menthol ban, the nation with the highest level of menthol cigarette gross sales share to but attempt a ban on gross sales of menthol cigarettes. We make the most of data on the gross sales of cigarettes and RYO tobacco collected by NielsenIQ from May 2018 to April 2021. Sales had been separated by flavor (standard and menthol) for every product (cigarettes and RYO) and across eight Nielsen-designated areas within the country (Warsaw City, Central, West, East, North, South, South-East, South-West). Supplementary figure S2 reveals that costs for menthol cigarettes remained larger than commonplace cigarettes and RYO tobacco all through the research interval in every region. Figure 1 illustrates the per capita cigarette and RYO gross sales pattern by area across Poland from May 2018 to April 2021. Sales of menthol cigarettes declined by 97% after the ban, whereas sales of unflavored ‘standard’ cigarettes rose on average by 38% in their place. We additionally report mannequin outcomes without worth, as prices declined quickly after the menthol ban, and observing the impact of that variable’s inclusion is essential to evaluate the findings.



















While the information introduced in table 2 counsel that regions with the highest menthol gross sales earlier than the ban had the most important reduction in whole cigarette gross sales after the menthol ban, several other management variables modified meaningfully earlier than and after the menthol taste ban. Unadjusted results show that total cigarette sales fall by 5 sticks per capita per 30 days in the best (4th quartile) pre-ban menthol share regions whereas rising by 4 sticks per capita in the IQR and falling by less than one stick per capita in the bottom (1st) quartile. In Supplementary figure S3, we show the predicted sales break up out by pre-ban menthol share and observe that within the region with the best pre-ban menthol share (Warsaw), we observed a statistically important decline in gross sales after the menthol ban. Table 2 displays the unweighted mean of mannequin covariates earlier than and after the implementation of the menthol ban break up between regions by 1st quartile (Low), interquartile range (IQR), and 4th quartile (High) by May 2018 menthol share.